You can start the series by clicking HERE. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. Step 1. Are You a Miracle? Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! June 5. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Part of HuffPost Wellness. Please pass this post along. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. A lovely day to you. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! If you need to flag this entry as abusive. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Then the probability of Mr. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. Are they gross exaggerations? But let's think about this some more. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Is that an African fly or a European one? Here it should be realize it is a quest work. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. An unimaginably long time. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Which one's bigger? Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. 7 distinct works Similar authors. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Which ones bigger? Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Same to all of us. Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). What are the odds of that? The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. This button displays the currently selected search type. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Its maddening to see people worry so much. Think of yourself as dead. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. Wowser. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . They each roll the dice and they all come up with. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Step 1. They agree to within a factor of two! The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. Your email address will not be published. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. You may think You say that to everyone!. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Thank you, Monsignor. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. That's 150,000 generations. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Part of HuffPost Wellness. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. That's 150,000 generations. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. dr ali binazir odds of being born. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. So what's the probability of your being born? A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Want to Read. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Something was dropped and then picked up. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? So far, so good. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). Which one's bigger? dr ali binazir odds of being born. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Step 3. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. xx, Lets be social! The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. You get the volume of planet Earth. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Or could they be underestimates of the true number? That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. Thats a pretty good trip. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. On one try. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Post your query OR Review in below comment box. Probability is a pure odd. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had.
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